Polling inertia
Posted on Tuesday, April 18, 2006 at 2:25 PM | Permalink
A lack of movement in recent polls has some speculating National's attacks on David Benson-Pope and David Parker have had nil affect. Meanwhile Labour has refocused as illustrated by Chris Carter's quick action on news Housing New Zealand was paying hush money to potential whistleblowers.
More realistically, the polls haven't moved because people aren't interested. There may be a catch-up when people re-engage with politics later in the year.
However, it proves another rule of politics: people vote with their back pocket. Despite the economy probably experiencing a technical recession, it has yet to lead to large scale job losses which is when voters really take notice.
More realistically, the polls haven't moved because people aren't interested. There may be a catch-up when people re-engage with politics later in the year.
However, it proves another rule of politics: people vote with their back pocket. Despite the economy probably experiencing a technical recession, it has yet to lead to large scale job losses which is when voters really take notice.
